基于决策支持系统的多目标参与评价分析--异龙湖综合治理总体规划方法研讨

“异龙湖流域环境保护与总体规划”对经过预选的拟议措施进行基于决策支持系统的多目标参与评价分析,依据多目标参与评价的综合指数进行排序,优选总体规划的实施措施清单,最后,利用决策支持系统进行最终选定措施对异龙湖水质改善效果进行分析。     

日本森林管理的最新发展——以日本神奈川县林业政策过程为例

为了追求更好的森林管理效果,对相关森林政策的实施,不是仅仅停留在传统的狭义的行政管理部门上,同时还要涉及到经营者、市民以及当地居民等利益相关者,使他们都要以相互协调的方式参与到森林管理当中来.它是建立在一定的森林价值现基础上,基于科学原理并突破以往的技术层面而对森林进行的一系列更加合理的管理措施体系.本文以日本神奈川县的林业政策形成过程为例对森林治理问题进行了讨论.     

提高环境政策法律效益的探讨

首先探讨环境行为的相关性强、连带影响大、副作用多的特性 ,揭示和比较行为限制与区域限制的区别和联系 ;然后讨论环境政策易产生间接影响、极易产生经济效应和社会效应的特性和环境政策实施会造成暂时性经济损失 ,造成部分人暂时生活困难的特性。在此基础上 ,提出保护策略应从单纯“禁、堵”策略改为“禁、堵、疏、导”策略 ,强调应加强环境政策社会学分析和环境政策经济分析 ,加强环境政策评估 ,以提高环境保护效益     

Integrating mitigation and adaptation into climate and development policy: three research questions

The potential for developing synergies between climate change mitigation and adaptation has become a recent focus of both climate research and policy. Presumably the interest in synergies springs from the appeal of creating win–win situations by implementing a single climate policy option. However, institutional complexity, insufficient opportunities and uncertainty surrounding their efficiency and effectiveness present major challenges to the widespread development of synergies. There are also increasing calls for research to define the optimal mix of mitigation and adaptation. These calls are based on the misguided assumption that there is one single optimal mix of adaptation and mitigation options for all possible scenarios of climate and socio-economic change, notwithstanding uncertainty and irrespective of the diversity of values and preferences in society. In the face of current uncertainty, research is needed to provide guidance on how to develop a socially and economically justifiable mix of mitigation, adaptation and development policy, as well as on which elements would be part of such a mix. Moreover, research is needed to establish the conditions under which the process of mainstreaming can be most effective. Rather than actually developing and implementing specific mitigation and adaptation options, the objective of climate policy should be to facilitate such development and implementation as part of sectoral policies. Finally, analysis needs to focus on the optimal use and expected effectiveness of financial instruments, taking into account the mutual effects between these instruments on the one hand, and national and international sectoral investments and official development assistance on the other.     

生态建设的政策保障

生态建设保障的实质是政策需求动态与政策供给动态匹配一致，政策需求能及时得到有效满足；生态建设政策保障不力的原因和核心是政策需求与政策供给脱节，政策需求无法及时得到满足。因而建立强大的生态建设政策保障，必须深刻剖析政策需求规律、政策供给规律、政策供给—需求相互作用规律等。本文根据这个精神和思路，剖析生态建设政策供给一些深层次的问题和规律，例如政策的功能和作用、政策的价值和伦理的追求等，深化对政策作用规律的认识，提高政策供给的意识能力和制订水平。     

战略环境影响评价及其在我国实施的必要性

本文简要介绍了战略环境影响评价（SEA）的产生，涵义，特点及研究现状，分析了当前我国环境影响评价存在的主要问题，重点论述了SEA在我国实施的必要性，阐明了SEA是实现可持续发展和改善我国环境评价质量的重要手段。     

Evaluating Experience with Renewables Portfolio Standards in the United States

Increased use of renewable energy is one of several promising methods for reducing emissions of local, regional, and global air pollutants, including greenhouse gas emissions associated with fossil-fuel based electricity production. Among the available options for encouraging renewable electricity generation, the renewables portfolio standard (RPS) has become especially popular in recent years. The RPS is a newly established policy mechanism, however, and experience with its use has not been widely documented and evaluated. This paper describes and evaluates the design, impacts, and early experience of 13 U.S. state RPS policies. These 13 policies share a common goal of encouraging renewable energy supply, but each specific RPS is designed differently. Our evaluation shows both successes and failures with this policy mechanism; some state RPS policies are positively impacting renewable energy development, while others have been poorly designed and will do little to advance renewable energy markets.We emphasize the importance of policy design details, and specifically highlight critical design pitfalls that have been commonly experienced. Though experience with the RPS is still limited, we have now gained some knowledge of the conditions and design features necessary to make an RPS policy work. An important objective of this article is therefore to identify and describe broad policy design principles and specific best practice design elements that might be used to guide the design of future renewables portfolio standards.     

汽车工业发展与环境效应的数学模型及其应用

随着９０年代我国汽车工业的迅速发展和汽车保有量的不断增长，汽车排放物在我国特别是大城市渐渐成为大气的主要污染源，在民健康和我国可持续发展战略目标的实现构成了威胁。因此，我国政府越来越重视对汽车排放污染的控制，制定了一系列治理汽车排放污染的政策法规，本文试图运用数学分析方法建立以汽车排放总量为主变量的汽车工业发展环境效应分析的模型，计算和讨论了治理汽车排放污染物和污染防治的政策法规实施的潜在效果。为     

长江三角洲地区耕地总量动态平衡政策目标实现的可能性分析

在分析中国耕地总量动态平衡政策产生背景及区域耕地数量变化驱动因素的基础上,通过建立耕地总量动态平衡政策运行效果评价的社会经济影响因素分析模型,根据当前长江三角洲地区社会经济发展的趋势,认为2005年这一地区是有可能实现耕地总量动态平衡这一政策目标的。但是,2010年该地区耕地拥有量将与耕地总量动态平衡目标相差9.12%,因而实现耕地总量动态平衡的难度较大。同时,研究区域所属的11个城市耕地总量动态平衡政策目标实现的可能性也不一样,具体有4种类型:一是可以实现平衡的,为江苏省泰州市和浙江省湖州市;二是较难实现平衡的,有江苏省南通市、镇江市、常州市和浙江省嘉兴市;三是难以实现平衡的,有江苏省南京市、苏州市、无锡市和扬州市;四是实现平衡可能性不大的,为上海市。同时,文章还认为耕地质量的改善对于区域耕地保护具有实质性的积极意义。     

Why slaughter? The cultural dimensions of Britain's foot and mouth disease control policy, 1892–2001

In 1892, the British agricultural authorities introduced a policy of slaughtering animals infected with foot and mouth disease (FMD). This measure endured throughout the 20th century and formed a base line upon which officials superimposed the controversial "contiguous cull" policy during the devastating 2001 epidemic. Proponents of the slaughter frequently emphasized its capacity to eliminate FMD from Britain, and claimed that it was both cheaper and more effective than the alternative policies of isolation and vaccination. However, their discussions reveal that a less obvious but nonetheless important reason for maintaining the slaughter policy was the conviction that in its manner of operation and its outcomes, it benefited the state and status of the British nation. To its supporters, slaughter was far more than a method of disease control; it acted also as a moralizing and civilizing force, an indicator of veterinary ability and a "virility symbol" of British international leadership. This "cultural" rationale for FMD control by slaughter declined during the late 20th century and was wholly undermined by the 2001 epidemic, when extensive culling failed to convey the intended image of an organized, enlightened Britain.